Inflation

Americans Need To Look Beyond Short Term Market Volatility To Long Term Realities

Dr. B. shows that regardless of short-term stock market behavior, the long term outlook for the U.S. (and world) economy is nearly certain.

Will the U.S. government get its budget deficit under control? A great deal depends upon what the stock market does — a market that may be entering a “boar market” phase where unpredictability is the tusked creature’s game. Stock market action over the last six weeks has been predictably bullish because of the consistent investment activity of trend following systems following the March technical reversal.

Market Rally May Boost General Economy Until New Debt Creates Real Crisis

Dr. B. shows why the US stock market may be manipulated in the positive direction for a time, temporarily boosting the US economy. However, the enormous debt incurred by the US government will cause a much more significant crisis over the next few years.

A massive amount of quantitative easing (money supply inflation) is underway in the U.S. and around the world. The Bank of England, for example, has committed 75 billion pounds ($111 billion U.S.) to purchase government bonds and corporate paper.

Could U.S. Government Mishandling of Economy Fuel International Conflict?

Dr. B. comments on Paul Farrell's Marketwatch.com article about the potential for new international enemies, fueled by adversarial U.S. economic policies.

All right, not everything in today’s Farrell commentary is erudite or even proportional. Nevertheless, he does make some valuable points. It is apparent that America is setting up various disgruntled interests in the world to make war with us. The U.S. decision to monetize debts in the face of a deepening recession is problematic. Quantitative easing (as it is called) will expose our international friends, competitors and enemies to economic complications as our U.S.

What's Wrong With Modern, Centralized Interest Rate Management?

On the news of the global coordinated interest rate cut, Dr. B. addresses the fundamental problems with the current interest rate environment.

The globally coordinated interest rate cut today shows the desperation of central bankers in trying to calm market psychology. The rhetoric about inflationary prospects moderating is delusional. While commodity prices are coming down in the short term they will likely reverse in the mid-term, as fundamentals point higher. Furthermore, government bailouts and backstops will lead to higher inflation as will entitlement programs and the alleged need for large military expenditures.

How Much Inflation Is There, Really?

This response to an article regarding recent inflation figures shows a broader view of the true inflation picture, and how it will really impact the United States economy.

Why is U.S. monetary policy continually burdened by economic fallacies? Supposedly, ‘real inflation’, is not a threat as long as wage inflation does not create an inflationary spiral (feedback loop). Nonsense. Irwin Kellner, Marketwatch Chief Economist, correctly argues that it is later than most people think because U.S. inflation has found drivers independent of U.S. wages.

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